Can the epidemic end in the summer


The novel coronavirus disease (pandemic) was declared by the WHO (WHO) in March 11th. Its basic definition is that the epidemic has spread across the globe or in a very wide area.
The world will enter a period of great uncertainty.

  1. In fact, there are only two kinds of fighting methods, Chinese martial arts and Western boxing
    China’s performance is the best at the moment, as it has almost completely eliminated local cases (Wuhan will soon be cleared). But it’s hard for countries to be determined to adopt the strategy of replacing economic stop with epidemic control. Therefore, most of the current medical systems of all countries, advanced or not, are copied from the epidemic prevention system of the United States, that is to say, one step at a time.
    Why are the achievements of Asian countries and regions (Singapore, Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, China and Taiwan) and Western countries so different from those of the United States? I don’t know. In the future, some countries or regions may become the second Wuhan.
    We will not talk about China’s experience for the moment, because China’s war epidemic strategy is very difficult to copy internationally. In fact, no country has the courage to isolate the infected with the most resolute means and the most strict discipline (closure of epidemic areas, nationwide suspension, and community blockade) for two to four weeks at the cost of two months of economic suspension. The final effect is that the virus is completely suppressed No (no local cases nationwide).
  2. Will things get worse in Italy?
    At present, the situation in Italy is not optimistic, with the total number of confirmed cases breaking 10000 (up to 12462 cases at 10:00 on March 12, Beijing time). Italy was the first country to announce the suspension of flights with China, but once the cases were imported, it was unable to conduct rapid and large-scale detection, lacked the government’s guidance for the people’s anti epidemic, and the community prevention and control was equal to 0. The case development trend in Italy went directly to Wuhan, China in January. The current situation of total cases and deaths in Italy is very similar to that in the first stage of Hubei Province in China. If the current trend is followed, the number of infections in Italy will be close to 200000 at the end of May.
    On March 11, the Italian government announced the “closure” of the whole country (quite different from the specific measures of “closure” of Hubei Province). But in fact, Italy’s Fengcheng is just Fengcheng, and the city is Fengcheng. It seems to be the same as the Fengcheng in Wuhan, China. In fact, it’s just like the shape. Italy is closed outside, and the bustle inside is not abated. There are even rallies against the closure of the city.
    It’s reminiscent of the closure of Mexico City in 2009 when the flu hit. It was a complete failure. 60 million people in the United States were infected. The United States has to give up its strong control over the H1N1 pandemic influenza virus and turn to a seasonal influenza management model.